Archive for April, 2009

Nordic military cooperation outlined in new report

Posted Monday, April 20, 2009 by Mats Johansson

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STOCKHOLM. The Stoltenberg Report, named after its Social Democrat author Thorvald Stoltenberg, a former Minister for Foreign Affairs in Norway, represents another step forward to a closer cooperation concerning common security arrangements in the Nordic area. 

When the report was published in February by Mr. Stoltenberg, it received a lot of credit from a broad spectrum of the political scale. On the receiving end, the five Nordic Foreign Ministers said they looked forward to taking all the proposals into serious consideration during their further handling of the report this spring.

There are thirteen areas for increased joint Nordic action suggested in the text:  

1. A deployment force for military and civilian international actions

2. Air patrolling over Iceland

3. A sea surveillance system

4. A sea patrol

5. A satellite for sea control

6. Arctic co-operation

7. A network against cyber attacks

8. A co-ordination team for larger rescue operations

9. A war criminals research unit

10. Common embassies where there are no Nordic presence

11. Joint efforts for military education, training, transport and equipment

12. A special amphibian unit for international operations

13. A common declaration of solidarity against external attacks

Given the fact that some of these proposals include activities related to Nato-structures, formerly neutral countries like Sweden and Finland have to handle the issues in another context than member countries. At the same time the report is one of many signs that the gap between Nato and would-be-members is closing step by step, when it comes to practical arrangements and operational standards. 

This is a good sign for those forces for freedom around the Baltic Sea, who share the belief that a united view of the region’s security is all the more important at a time when Russia, through political and military aggression, has distanced itself from good relations with its neighbors. 

This first phase of this program of Nordic security cooperation should in due time be followed by a second, which also includes Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania. Such a step would give some answers to the question heard in these countries about what “solidarity” really means, if things come to the worst in relations to Russia.

And that is of course why some of the Stoltenberg proposals make especially older Finnish socialists nervous. Talk is cheap, but when it comes to reality Moscow still has a saying in Nordic affairs. Just how much, we will be able to infer from the future results of this report. 

by Mats Johansson

For the full report:

http://eng.utanrikisraduneyti.is/media/Frettatilkynning/Nordic_report.pdf

Gazprom Turns the Crisis Into an Opportunity -and a New Crisis

Posted Monday, April 20, 2009 by Anders Hjemdahl

(From the Jamestown Foundation’s Eurasia Daily Monitor)

Gazprom tries to maintain the momentum of aggressive expansion in the European market expecting that economic troubles will force each country and company to fight for their own interests frustrating the efforts of the EU Commission to forge a common energy platform. One important breakthrough is in the making for the Nord Stream pipeline project across the Baltic Sea, which is Putin’s personal priority. French “champion” Gaz de France appears ready to join this project and that might finally convince the stubborn Swedes to drop their objections (www.gazeta.ru, April 10).

Another important development is Gazprom’s decision to issue Euro-bonds for as much as $2 billion with the help of Credit Suisse (RBC Daily, April 9). That might help in settling current payments with Italian ENI, but more importantly that will increase the ranks of European stakeholders who are interested in Gazprom’s success.

Read the whole article by Pavel K. Baev at the Eurasia Daily Monitor here.

Russia’s depopulation bomb

Posted Monday, April 20, 2009 by Anders Hjemdahl

(From the FINROS Forum)

A specter is haunting Russia today. It is not the specter of Communism—that ghost has been chained in the attic of the past—but rather of depopulation—a relentless, unremitting, and perhaps unstoppable depopulation. The mass deaths associated with the Communist era may be history, but another sort of mass death may have only just begun, as Russians practice what amounts to an ethnic self-cleansing.

Since 1992, Russia’s human numbers have been progressively dwindling. This slow motion process now taking place in the country carries with it grim and potentially disastrous implications that threaten to recast the contours of life and society in Russia, to diminish the prospects for Russian economic development, and to affect Russia’s potential influence on the world stage in the years ahead.

The full article by Nicholas Eberhard is available at World Affairs:

http://www.worldaffairsjournal.org/2009%20-%20Spring/full-Eberstadt.html